Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 94.220732 104.243703 114.462956 125.636696 137.485286 149.650956 163.062074
2026-01-04 78.081569 92.937037 108.758868 126.756318 146.555050 167.571658 191.467887
2026-01-11 66.645861 85.016229 105.386958 129.383714 156.619500 186.330235 220.951456
2026-01-18 57.344848 78.223988 102.276046 131.523054 165.638162 203.725874 249.019094
2026-01-25 45.981715 67.620649 93.608844 126.281398 165.465582 210.224928 264.503859
2026-02-01 37.795720 59.872177 87.472031 123.257462 167.255415 218.525541 281.746070
2026-02-08 31.901923 54.314404 83.418264 122.227746 171.003551 228.827619 301.144254
2026-02-15 27.864848 50.736188 81.478204 123.494620 177.302364 242.018321 323.902822
2026-02-22 25.512442 49.221104 82.029173 127.782678 187.264326 259.621384 352.007155
2026-03-01 22.716352 46.705161 80.956205 129.740383 194.147939 273.401154 375.511685
2026-03-08 19.484237 43.114222 78.064878 129.007618 197.385338 282.547827 393.311512
2026-03-15 17.421356 41.121963 77.254968 130.943433 203.985303 295.846925 416.224094
2026-03-22 16.047919 40.170723 77.951557 135.032245 213.587491 313.196783 444.547692
2026-03-29 14.356382 38.457660 77.370963 137.252266 220.695260 327.436200 469.132183
2026-04-05 13.099431 37.362270 77.629182 140.605091 229.314603 343.651665 496.294769
2026-04-12 11.812718 36.033765 77.406009 143.190449 236.870644 358.525358 521.851734
2026-04-19 9.212390 31.664969 71.963997 137.831223 233.309865 358.808886 528.810389
2026-04-26 7.378755 28.497681 68.203058 134.729074 232.680123 362.784111 540.378798
2026-05-03 6.106973 26.306753 65.903673 133.692149 234.836679 370.368591 556.555160
2026-05-10 5.310964 25.089941 65.205776 135.063349 240.378150 382.456351 578.588549
2026-05-17 4.977754 25.004130 66.527140 139.619561 250.525626 400.776446 608.814887
2026-05-24 4.397803 24.128678 66.321515 141.700522 257.083394 414.285944 632.828823
2026-05-31 3.601859 22.420703 64.411056 140.930297 259.421413 422.057017 649.339956